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U.S. Stocks Slip as Treasury Yields Climb on Rate Hike Expectations

Published: 16 April 2024 at 19:23

Finance & Economics

Most U.S. stocks slipped as Treasury yields rose, with the S&P 500 falling 0.2%, Dow Jones rising 0.2%, and Nasdaq falling 0.1%. Federal Reserve officials signaled no immediate interest rate cuts, causing market weakness despite positive corporate earnings. Fed Chair Powell's comments on inflation led to record-high Treasury yields and a shift in rate cut expectations to September. Strong earnings from companies like UnitedHealth supported the market. Treasury yields rose further, reflecting investor concerns. Corporate earnings exceeding estimates boosted investor confidence amid geopolitical tensions. Federal Reserve officials will continue to speak this week.

DEEP DIVE


US Stocks Open Lower as Healthcare Insurers Tumble and Interest Rate Cut Timing Uncertain


US stocks opened lower, with the Dow Jones slipping over 450 points and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq falling as well, while US bond yields rose to around 4.37%. Doubts about an early interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve have emerged due to strong economic indicators and job market data. Health insurer stocks declined after regulators did not increase payments for private Medicare plans as expected. Tesla's stock also dropped following lower-than-expected car deliveries in the first quarter. Cleveland Fed President Mester anticipates three interest rate cuts this year despite stable inflation.

Stocks Decline on Inflation and Geopolitical Concerns; Major Bank Shares Slide


Stocks on Wall Street experienced a decline on Friday due to worries about inflation and geopolitical tensions. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 1.24%, the S&P 500 by 1.46%, and the Nasdaq Composite by 1.62%. Major bank shares also dropped, with JPMorgan Chase decreasing over 6% and Wells Fargo slipping 0.4%. Oil prices rose as reports indicated Israel preparing for a potential direct attack by Iran. This news, along with U.S. import data, fueled inflation concerns in the market.

U.S. Stocks Slightly Higher Amid Uncertainty Over Interest Rate Cuts and Inflation Report


U.S. stock indexes, including the S&P 500 and Dow Jones, are slightly up as investors await key market reports on inflation and corporate profits. Traders are uncertain about the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts due to recent mixed economic data, with expectations ranging from two to zero cuts this year. Companies may need to show strong profit growth to support current stock price levels.

US Stocks Fall Sharply After Inflation Data Shows Increase in Consumer Prices


US stocks tumbled on Wednesday as inflation data for March revealed a 3.5% increase in consumer prices over the past year, the highest gain in six months. The Dow closed 1.1% lower, the S&P 500 lost 1%, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped by 0.8%. The hotter-than-expected report may delay anticipated rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, prompting concerns among investors. Only 16.5% of investors expect a rate cut at the June meeting, signaling a shift in market expectations.

Stock Futures Dip Amid Fear of Delayed Interest-Rate Cuts After Strong Jobs Report


Stock futures dipped following a strong jobs report as investors fear a delay in interest-rate cuts, with futures for the S&P 500 and Dow Jones slipping by 0.1%, while the Nasdaq 100 remained flat. The US Dollar Index rose 0.1% to 104.37 points, and the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to 4.45%. Asian shares rose as investors awaited earnings reports and the US consumer prices report. Japan's Nikkei 225 jumped 1.3%, Sydney's S&P/ASX 200 gained 0.3%, and South Korea's Kospi rose 0.3%. Concerns about inflation and energy prices continue amidst signs of economic recovery.

Stocks Mostly Higher Following Wall Street's Volatility


Stocks closed mostly higher, with the S&P 500 rising 0.1% after its recent losses. The Dow Jones slipped 0.1% while the Nasdaq added 0.2%. Treasury yields eased due to cooling growth in U.S. services businesses, possibly leading to multiple interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that rate cuts may occur with further evidence of decreasing inflation. Market indexes fluctuated throughout the week but showed overall gains for the year.

Stocks stumble as techs falter and banks report mixed results


Stocks fell on Friday with the Nasdaq Composite sliding 1.3%, the S&P 500 shedding 1%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average falling 0.9% or more than 300 points. Tech stocks, previously leading the rally, lost ground amid fears of inflation and worries about Federal Reserve policies. Big banks like BlackRock, JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup reported mixed results, with the financial sector underwhelming investors. Meanwhile, precious metals like gold and silver rallied to fresh highs as investors sought safety amidst Middle East tensions and inflation concerns.

Stocks Finish Higher Despite Federal Reserve Uncertainty


Stocks rose on Friday as investors responded positively to a strong jobs report in the US. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained about 0.8%, the S&P 500 increased by 1.1%, and the Nasdaq Composite rose by 1.2%. Despite this daily increase, all three major indexes saw losses for the week. Concerns over potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve linger amidst market uncertainty. Oil prices remained high due to tensions in the Middle East. Tech stocks led the market gains on Friday, but overall, the week was marked by fluctuating stock prices and nervousness among investors.

Stock market today: Dow snaps 6-day losing streak, Powell warns on inflation


The Dow snapped a six-day losing streak on Tuesday as investors digested a "higher-for-longer" interest rate mantra from the Federal Reserve. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ( ^DJI ) finished the day up 0.2%, or more than 50 points, following comments from Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell, who said it will likely take "longer than expected" for the central bank to be confident in its inflation fight. The S&P 500 ( ^GSPC ) and tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite ( ^IXIC ) closed down 0.2% and 0.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reiterates potential rate cuts amid 'bumpy' inflation, Disney fends off activist investor


Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed the likelihood of interest rate cuts this year due to inflation moving towards 2%, with the S&P 500 rising slightly while the Dow fell; Disney successfully defended against activist investor Nelson Peltz, leading to a 3% stock dip. Energy sector continues as a top performer in the S&P 500.

US Stock Futures Rise as Investors Await Jobs Report


US stock futures climbed with Dow Jones Industrial Average futures up by 0.3%, S&P 500 futures by 0.3%, and Nasdaq 100 futures by 0.4%. Chair Jerome Powell's reassurance on rate cuts boosted market confidence, shifting focus to the upcoming US jobs report. Expectations for further rate hikes due to economic acceleration have eased. Levi Strauss and BlackBerry saw stock increases due to positive corporate news. General Motors' stock has surged by 25% this year, outperforming Ford and S&P 500, attributed to improved EV execution and shareholder returns.

Hong Kong Stocks Lead Gains in Asian Markets, Economic Data from South Korea and Australia Evaluated


Hong Kong stocks led gains in Asian markets while investors evaluated economic data from South Korea and Australia. China's Vanke saw a 11.4% slump after reporting a 50.6% decrease in 2023 core profit and no dividend payout. South Korea's Kospi edged higher as consumer prices rose 3.1% in March. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 showed minimal gains despite a contraction in the manufacturing sector index. On Wall Street, the S&P 500 dipped, Dow Jones fell, Nasdaq rose. Companies like FedEx and Trump Media & Technology Group experienced significant fluctuations in value.

Stocks Rebound After Strong Jobs Report and Oil Price Surge


Stocks rallied on Friday following a better-than-expected jobs report with 303,000 jobs added in March and a decreased unemployment rate of 3.8%. The market also reacted to concerns about inflation due to rising oil prices amid tensions in the Middle East. Major indices including Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq gained significantly. Additionally, Tesla's plans for a more affordable model were canceled.

US Consumer Prices Rise More Than Expected, Diminishing Rate-Cut Prospects


The US consumer price index (CPI) rose 3.5 percent in March from a year earlier, higher than predicted, leading economists to doubt the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year. Stock prices fell and bond yields rose after the CPI report, impacting President Biden's approval ratings. Core prices also increased more than expected. Despite the inflation surge, the US economy appears solid with low unemployment rates. Analysts, like those at Goldman Sachs, have revised rate-cut predictions multiple times due to unpredictable inflation patterns and market reactions.

Stock market today: Stocks rebound as investors shake off Mideast tensions, focus on earnings


US stocks rose Monday as worries over the fallout from Iran's attack on Israel eased, allowing focus to return to earnings season and inflation risks to rate-cut hopes. The S&P 500 ( ^GSPC ) added roughly 0.9%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average ( ^DJI ) moved up nearly 1%, or over 360 points, after ending the week with sharp losses . The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite ( ^IXIC ) was up 0.6%.

Mixed Close on Wall Street as Traders Await Market-Moving Reports


Stocks on Wall Street closed mixed as traders prepared for upcoming market-moving reports, with the S&P 500 edging up 0.1%, the Dow Jones unchanged, and the Nasdaq up 0.3%. Treasury yields eased ahead of important inflation updates, and big U.S. companies like JPMorgan Chase and Delta Air Lines will release their quarterly profit reports. Key index movements for the day, week, and year were also reported.

Big Tech Stocks Help U.S. Stock Indexes Rebound Amid Interest Rate Concerns


Big Tech stocks, including Apple and Amazon, led to a rise in U.S. stock indexes with the S&P 500 increasing by 0.7% and the Nasdaq composite setting a record by jumping 1.7%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average edged down slightly. Treasury yields remained steady amidst mixed economic data.

U.S. Markets Outpace Global Counterparts in 2024 with Strong Growth Trend Continuing


The S&P 500 is up 10% for the year, significantly outperforming developed markets outside the U.S. Since 2019, the S&P has gained 48%, compared to just 10% for other developed markets. Earnings growth for the S&P 500 is a key driver, with earnings up nearly 47 times that of the broader global market over 17 years. Strong consumer spending and a solid jobs market fuel the U.S. economy, while stock buybacks and technology companies dominate the S&P 500 movement.

Stocks, Currencies Tumble Amid Broad Selloff: Markets Wrap


(Bloomberg) -- European equity futures tracked the grim Asian session as signs of fading momentum in Chinas economy added to angst over elevated US interest rates and tensions in the Middle East. Most Read from Bloomberg Beyond the Ivies: Surprise Winners in the List of Colleges With the Highest ROI Trump Medias $5.3 Billion Selloff Deepens as 270% Rally Fizzles S&P 500 Breaks Below 5,100 as Big Tech Sells Off: Markets Wrap Irans Attack on Israel Sparks Race to Avert a Full-Blown War Apple Faces Worst iPhone Slump Since Covid as Rivals Rise The Euro Stoxx 50 contract dropped over 1%, while contracts on US stocks were steady after the S&P 500 slid to the lowest in more than a month overnight following robust retail sales data. In Asia, a gauge of regional stocks tumbled the most since August, with every major market seeing broad-based losses, after a slew of Chinas economic indicators showed that the nations economic recovery remains patchy. A global index of emerging market currencies dropped, with South Koreas won and the Indonesia rupiah weakening to multi-year lows.

Don't bet on earnings season to push stocks much higher, JPMorgan says


Companies are about to ring in a brand new earnings season, but JPMorgan says investors are unlikely to see their stocks ride higher on rosy results for the first quarter. Various indicators point at strong earnings on deck from US companies, but earnings beats don't guarantee stock market gains, especially given the stretched market conditions, JPMorgan's strategists led by Mislav Matejka said in a note on Monday. Breaking it down, consensus forecasts on Wall Street for corporate earnings have taken a significant dip over the past few months, with S&P 500 earnings per share, excluding mega-cap tech, outright declining for the fifth quarter in a row, according to the note. Such lowered expectations, as well as a boost in stock momentum over the past three months, should signal robust earnings ahead, but the strategists argue it won't translate into a big leg up for stocks as much of the market's unbridled optimism has already been baked into prices. "Equities have already had a good run into the results, suggesting that investors are more optimistic than the downbeat earnings projections by sell-side analysts convey," Matejka said, adding that there's a notable gap this year between expectations for Federal Reserve policy and where indexes are trading.

Stocks Update: PVH Corp., Veeva Systems, Tesla, UnitedHealth Group, Schlumberger, Paychex, Roivant Sciences, Valero Energy


PVH Corp. and UnitedHealth Group saw significant declines due to disappointing earnings forecasts and payment rates, while Veeva Systems and Tesla also experienced drops. On the other hand, Roivant Sciences and Valero Energy rose after positive developments. Schlumberger and Paychex also declined following financial announcements.

Mortgage Rates on the Rise Due to Hot Inflation Data


Unexpectedly high inflation data has led to an increase in mortgage rates, with the average 30-year rate reaching 6.88%, the highest in over a month. Investors now believe the Federal Reserve won't cut rates until September at the earliest, keeping mortgage rates elevated. Inflation remains a concern, impacting the trend of mortgage rates. Home prices are expected to rise as rates drop, leading to increased affordability challenges in the housing market. President Biden has proposed solutions to address housing market issues, but supply shortages continue to hinder affordability for many Americans.

US Growth and Sticky Inflation Raise Odds of Fed Rate Hike, UBS Says


UBS Group AG strategists predict that strong US growth and persistent inflation may lead the Federal Reserve to hike rather than cut interest rates, possibly reaching 6.5% by next year. While the banks base case is for two rate cuts this year, UBS sees a growing possibility of inflation staying high, prompting a shift to rate hikes. This outlook reflects concerns about inflation becoming entrenched and a potential deep selloff in bonds and stocks as markets scale back bets on policy easing.

Closing milestones of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (Wikipedia)


This article is a summary of the closing milestones of the Dow Jones Industrial Average, a United States stock market index. Since first closing at 62.76 on February 16, 1885, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased, despite several periods of decline.

US central banker suggests that persistently elevated inflation may delay Fed interest rate cuts


Federal Reserve chair, Jerome Powell, warned that higher inflation may postpone any Fed interest rate cuts until later in the year. Recent data show inflation is still above the 2% target, with year-over-year inflation at 3.5% in March.

Federal Reserve Vice Chair Hints at Keeping Key Rate High to Combat Inflation


Federal Reserve Vice Chair Philip Jefferson suggested that the central bank's key rate may have to remain at its peak for a while to bring down persistently elevated inflation. Jefferson expects inflation to continue to slow this year and stated that keeping rates steady at the current level could help cool inflation. He omitted any mention of future rate cuts and highlighted the importance of reaching the Fed's 2% target inflation level. U.S. consumer inflation was reported at 3.5% recently. The remarks indicate a potential shift from the previously forecasted rate cuts by the Fed.

US Single-Family Homebuilding Slows in March Due to Rising Mortgage Rates and Housing Market Uncertainty


US single-family homebuilding in March experienced a 12.4% drop in starts to an annual rate of 1.022 million units, with permits for future construction falling to a five-month low. The resurgence in mortgage rates is deterring buyers, while the housing market recovery faces challenges as interest rate expectations shift. Economists doubt a rate cut in 2024 as the Federal Reserve maintains rates. Homebuilding declined in the Northeast, Midwest, and South but rose in the West. The housing market slowdown reflects caution among builders and buyers amidst market uncertainty.

List of largest daily changes in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (Wikipedia)


This is a list of the largest daily changes in the Dow Jones Industrial Average from 1896. Compare to the list of largest daily changes in the S&P 500 Index.

Greenspan put (Wikipedia)


The Greenspan put was a monetary policy response to financial crises that Alan Greenspan, former chair of the Federal Reserve, exercised beginning with the crash of 1987. Successful in addressing various crises, it became controversial as it led to periods of extreme speculation led by Wall Street investment banks overusing the put's repurchase agreements (or indirect quantitative easing) and creating successive asset price bubbles. The banks so overused Greenspan's tools that their compromised solvency in the global financial crisis of 2007–2008 required Fed chair Ben Bernanke to use direct quantitative easing (the Bernanke put). The term Yellen put was used to refer to Fed chair Janet Yellen's policy of perpetual monetary looseness (i.e. low interest rates and continual quantitative easing).In Q4 2019, Fed chair Jerome Powell recreated the Greenspan put by providing repurchase agreements to Wall Street investment banks as a way to boost falling asset prices; in 2020, to combat the financial effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, Powell re-introduced the Bernanke put with direct quantitative easing to boost asset prices. In November 2020, Bloomberg noted the Powell put was stronger than both the Greenspan put or the Bernanke put, while Time noted the scale of Powell's monetary intervention in 2020 and the tolerance of multiple asset bubbles as a side-effect of such intervention, "is changing the Fed forever."While the specific individual tools have varied between each genre of "put", collectively they are often referred to as the Fed put (cf. Central bank put). In late 2014, concern grew about the emergence of a so-called everything bubble due to overuse of the Fed put and perceived simultaneous pricing bubbles in most major US asset classes. By late 2020, under Powell's chair the perceived everything bubble had reached an extreme level due to unprecedented monetary looseness by the Fed, which simultaneously sent most major US asset classes (i.e. equities, bonds, housing, and commodities) to prior peaks of historical extreme valuation (and beyond in several cases), and created a highly speculative market. By early 2022, in the face of rising inflation, Powell was forced to "prick the everything bubble", and his reversal of the Fed put was termed the Fed call (i.e. a call option being the opposite of a put option).

Bank of England's Economic Forecast Failures Due to Outdated Software and Incremental Changes


A review led by former US Federal Reserve head, Dr Ben Bernanke, highlighted that the Bank of England's economic forecasting quality deteriorated due to outdated software and incrementalism, causing large errors in predicting the cost of living crisis. The Bank faced criticism for underestimating the impact of global shocks like COVID lockdowns and the Ukraine invasion on inflation, leading to delayed interest rate hikes. Dr Bernanke recommended major IT upgrades and suggested modeling various economic scenarios for more accurate forecasts.

U.S. Stocks Slip as Treasury Yields Climb on Rate Hike Expectations U.S. Stocks Slip as Treasury Yields Climb on Rate Hike Expectations

SOURCES

Business Insider

Stock market today: US stocks rise on strong earnings as traders try to come back from streak of losses

Business Insider

Business Insider

Stock market today: US indexes mixed amid hawkish Fedspeak and spiking bond yields

Business Insider

ABC News

How major US stock indexes fared Tuesday, 4/16/2024

ABC News

AP News

How major US stock indexes fared Tuesday, 4/16/2024

By THE ASSOCIATED PRESS

PANORA

US Stocks Open Lower as Healthcare Insurers Tumble and Interest Rate Cut Timing Uncertain

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PANORA

Stocks Decline on Inflation and Geopolitical Concerns; Major Bank Shares Slide

PANORA

PANORA

U.S. Stocks Slightly Higher Amid Uncertainty Over Interest Rate Cuts and Inflation Report

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PANORA

US Stocks Fall Sharply After Inflation Data Shows Increase in Consumer Prices

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PANORA

Stock Futures Dip Amid Fear of Delayed Interest-Rate Cuts After Strong Jobs Report

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PANORA

Stocks Mostly Higher Following Wall Street's Volatility

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Stocks stumble as techs falter and banks report mixed results

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PANORA

Stocks Finish Higher Despite Federal Reserve Uncertainty

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PANORA

Stock market today: Dow snaps 6-day losing streak, Powell warns on inflation

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Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reiterates potential rate cuts amid 'bumpy' inflation, Disney fends off activist investor

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US Stock Futures Rise as Investors Await Jobs Report

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Hong Kong Stocks Lead Gains in Asian Markets, Economic Data from South Korea and Australia Evaluated

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Stocks Rebound After Strong Jobs Report and Oil Price Surge

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US Consumer Prices Rise More Than Expected, Diminishing Rate-Cut Prospects

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Stock market today: Stocks rebound as investors shake off Mideast tensions, focus on earnings

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PANORA

Mixed Close on Wall Street as Traders Await Market-Moving Reports

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PANORA

Big Tech Stocks Help U.S. Stock Indexes Rebound Amid Interest Rate Concerns

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PANORA

U.S. Markets Outpace Global Counterparts in 2024 with Strong Growth Trend Continuing

PANORA

PANORA

Stocks, Currencies Tumble Amid Broad Selloff: Markets Wrap

PANORA

PANORA

Don't bet on earnings season to push stocks much higher, JPMorgan says

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PANORA

Stocks Update: PVH Corp., Veeva Systems, Tesla, UnitedHealth Group, Schlumberger, Paychex, Roivant Sciences, Valero Energy

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PANORA

Mortgage Rates on the Rise Due to Hot Inflation Data

PANORA

PANORA

US Growth and Sticky Inflation Raise Odds of Fed Rate Hike, UBS Says

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Wikipedia

Closing milestones of the Dow Jones Industrial Average

Wikipedia

PANORA

US central banker suggests that persistently elevated inflation may delay Fed interest rate cuts

PANORA

PANORA

Federal Reserve Vice Chair Hints at Keeping Key Rate High to Combat Inflation

PANORA

PANORA

US Single-Family Homebuilding Slows in March Due to Rising Mortgage Rates and Housing Market Uncertainty

PANORA

Wikipedia

List of largest daily changes in the Dow Jones Industrial Average

Wikipedia

Wikipedia

Greenspan put

Wikipedia

PANORA

Bank of England's Economic Forecast Failures Due to Outdated Software and Incremental Changes

PANORA